Nintendo will sell 14.7 million units of the Switch 2 console in its first year, the research firm Omdia predicted Wednesday, shortly after the Japanese company wrapped up its Direct event, providing an insight into how the new console may perform in the market.
The research firm said the Switch 2 will surpass its predecessor’s first-year sales by 10 per cent, signalling stronger market acceptance for Nintendo’s next-generation console. This comes despite a higher price of $450 for the console and $80 for some first-party games, as well as an increasingly competitive gaming landscape, with competition from both traditional home consoles and handheld gaming devices.
A large part of the growth is attributed to the existing Switch user base, with an estimated 105 million active Switch users representing a massive potential upgrade market for the Switch 2. The new console, which hits retail shelves on June 5, will benefit from the launch of Mario Kart World, a brand-new flagship first-party title with a huge audience.
Mario Kart World will launch alongside the Switch 2 on June 5. (Image credit: Nintendo)
Omdia estimates that Mario Kart’s strong brand recognition, combined with the success of the last game in the series—where 50% of current Switch owners purchased Mario Kart 8 Deluxe—makes it a strategic decision to launch the title alongside the Switch 2. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe has sold over 67.35 million copies, making it the best-selling game on the Switch system.
However, Omdia’s long-term projection indicates that the Switch 2 will underperform its predecessor by the fourth year, which could temper expectations. This forecast acknowledges that the original Switch benefited from an unprecedented pandemic-related gaming surge that is unlikely to be replicated.
With the Switch 2, Nintendo is competing not only with traditional video game console makers such as Sony and Microsoft but also with any device that supports gaming.
The original Nintendo Switch is one of the best-selling consoles of all time, having sold more than 150 million units since its 2017 release. Only Sony’s PS2 and Nintendo’s own DS have proved more popular.
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The console’s hybrid nature—allowing users to use it as a handheld device or hook it up to a TV in a more traditional home console setup—is one of the key reasons why it became a massive sensation. Even to this day, no competitor has been able to replicate the hybrid nature of the Switch.
The Switch 2 is projected to sell better than the original Switch in the first year. (Image credit: Omdia)
Even though the Switch 2 arrives with high expectations from existing fans, the pressure is on Nintendo to meet those expectations. Experts say that with the Switch 2, Nintendo will primarily be competing with itself.
The new console features a larger 7.9-inch screen compared to its predecessor, with a higher resolution—1080p versus the Switch’s 720p—HDR support, and up to 120fps. The design remains similar to the original Switch, with minor changes such as larger buttons and control sticks. The controllers now attach to the console more seamlessly.
However, the Switch 2 has a few gimmicks up its sleeve, as every Nintendo console does. For instance, both controllers can function as a mouse, but only in supported games.
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Nintendo is also introducing 3D audio technology to create a surround sound experience. The console comes with 256GB of internal storage, a significant upgrade. Additionally, an updated dock supports 4K gaming at 60fps—a major draw for enthusiasts and mature gamers who prefer better graphics and more detail. The Switch 2 will be powered by a custom Nvidia processor.
A key new addition to the Switch 2 is the C button on the controller, which brings an innovative voice chat functionality to the system. This feature allows players to communicate directly via the console’s built-in microphone, enabling video chat, mute/unmute options, and even screen sharing during gameplay.
The Switch 2 also supports new accessories, including a camera that connects via an additional USB-C port on top of the console. This allows users to engage in video chats and experience games in a whole new way.
During the presentation, Nintendo announced a slew of exclusive games for the Switch 2 featuring its marquee characters. Donkey Kong Bananza, a 3D adventure starring Nintendo’s iconic ape tearing through terrain and creating new paths to eliminate enemies, arrives on July 17. Kirby Air Riders, a racing game from the director of the Super Smash Bros. series, is set to release later in the year.
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Third-party exclusives will also be part of the Switch 2 launch lineup. These include Koei-Tecmo’s Hyrule Warriors: Age of Imprisonment, a hack-and-slash prequel to The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom. Additionally, The Duskbloods, a baroque multiplayer title from the creators of Elden Ring, is scheduled for 2026. A new James Bond game, codenamed Project 007, is also in development.
Nintendo has confirmed that “compatible” Switch games will work on the Switch 2. Additionally, some titles will be released in upgraded Switch 2 editions with enhanced graphics and gameplay. The new console is backward compatible with Switch games, both digitally and physically via game cards, although not all titles will be supported on the Switch 2.